Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 73.795849 83.025075 92.472803 102.835528 113.851250 125.182206 137.689020
2025-05-25 58.819699 71.972979 86.062146 102.145488 119.872060 138.699202 160.094708
2025-06-01 50.293655 65.616075 82.589849 102.518925 125.025736 149.430416 177.674122
2025-06-08 42.896323 59.522465 78.530121 101.419102 127.821517 156.955219 191.181038
2025-06-15 38.357351 56.188414 77.133365 102.889755 133.109946 166.917374 207.094656
2025-06-22 34.668708 53.467585 76.112933 104.491475 138.290117 176.550436 222.466129
2025-06-29 30.341084 49.527653 73.277853 103.635327 140.347689 182.401863 233.359953
2025-07-06 25.944047 45.088277 69.491725 101.333631 140.444119 185.778124 241.233895
2025-07-13 24.604712 44.602709 70.592660 104.955580 147.576328 197.341560 258.571616
2025-07-20 22.824928 43.341771 70.570100 107.076334 152.816928 206.627325 273.225859
2025-07-27 20.274167 40.762362 68.648479 106.655106 154.836279 212.004499 283.230780
2025-08-03 17.854169 38.153357 66.519871 105.828971 156.243870 216.565327 292.205936
2025-08-10 16.141190 36.492455 65.617047 106.570224 159.622989 223.554791 304.159410
2025-08-17 14.178261 34.254500 63.783376 105.988529 161.268590 228.401498 313.537796
2025-08-24 12.692708 32.638965 62.722651 106.350741 164.047845 234.585915 324.489300
2025-08-31 10.957413 30.411157 60.643057 105.229917 164.843968 238.274367 332.386686
2025-09-07 10.054894 29.549534 60.514605 106.732234 169.001525 246.101579 345.295532
2025-09-14 9.262458 28.804896 60.509341 108.368822 173.312532 254.110985 358.429236
2025-09-21 7.984629 26.986766 58.763125 107.494093 174.272702 257.898502 366.381229
2025-09-28 6.550250 24.641113 56.052193 105.142158 173.193034 259.060538 371.061849
2025-10-05 6.396968 24.950155 57.563966 108.842957 180.187682 270.425255 388.327017
2025-10-12 5.974760 24.625843 58.024568 111.009358 185.121801 279.184839 402.388904
2025-10-19 5.147829 23.276855 56.736471 110.579094 186.525951 283.438778 410.863178